Does it look like Obama will win New Hampshire with the latest poll showing him ahead 10 points?

Question

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_democratic_primary

Answer 1

I would like to see that. I'm glad to see Obama is ahead. I don't think he's perfect but I like him better than Hillary.



But after New Hampshire comes South Carolina. We know Obama will probably win that one, since fully half of the Democrats in South Carolina are black, and Obama is now a major candidate, a 'winner', so they won't be afraid to vote for him.



Under these circumstances, Hillary will pull out all the stops in New Hampshire. She lost in Iowa, she will lose in South Carolina, and if she loses in New Hampshire, that's the first three in a row and she's THROUGH. Three strikes and she's out. So she will do whatever she can to win in New Hampshire.



It's going to be an interesting year! Stay tuned!

Answer 2

If Obama runs through New Hampshire with a lead, and Hillary loses another early state, the momentum will drop for her.



Bill did lose Iowa by a lot, but he did come in second with a close showing in New Hampshire, and gathered momentum from that. If Hillary can't get to 2nd here, all of the money and work people supporting her have done has been lost.



South Carolina will surely go to Edwards, as he is a good Southern Boy, and Michigan will likely go to Obama. If Hillary can't get in the top by Florida, she should really drop out of the race for the sake of her party. Democrats don't need another Ralph Nader splitting off votes.

Answer 3

I am no expert but have been watching all the political shows over the past couple of days on ABC, Fox, NBC, BBC and every single one of the pundits say that Obama is going to win New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada and Michigan. Hillary will have to wait until Super Duper Tuesday to pick up some states - if she hasn't entirely lost support by then.



I think (hope) Hillary will stay in the race for her sake but also for Obama's. Her campaign might get dirty, but she will "shake all the leaves off the tree" in the process, leaving Republicans with nothing to smear either of them with (or possibly opening a can of worms, but better we know now!).



The party suffered immensely in 2004 when Terry McAuliffe effectively decided to call it after New Hampshire. Since Howard Dean should have been the nominee and he is now party chairman, I don't think we'll see a repeat of that mistake.



Edwards' is already dead in the water, sorry.



Claire works for the Clinton campaign. You are so busted!

Answer 4

A pollis a poll. What good would it not do for Fox to falsely record the outcomes? It would not help their commonplace candidate, which I trust you is McCain, even though it would also lead them to look as if they could't even do a poll. also, perhaps the technique is to scare the Republicans so as that they improve additional money or do extra campaigning? One reason polls are not that strong, although, is that some human beings, like me, received't do a telephone poll. i do not opt for to inspire "telemarketing-style" calls, and also they ask coaching i do not opt for to furnish. If i ought to do an information superhighway poll, i'd do it, yet so some distance all the polls i have been requested to participate in are telephone polls.

Answer 5

Polls can be deceiving. Muskie was a clear front runner for the Democratic nomination coming into New Hampshire in 72, and then he tanked. Voters in new hampshire keep their own counsel, and will let us know in their usual way on election night.



It certainly will be interesting.

Answer 6

I think the image of him on stage with his family the other night struck so many people that not only will he win New Hampshire, I think he is now the front-runner.

Answer 7

I'm in NH; based on what I'm hearing and seeing, the Obombster is gonna crush Queen Hillary the Great and it's gonna be really, really great to see it up close and personal.

Answer 8

Obama will win big in New Hampshire.



What Hillary has to worry about is coming in third again LOL.

Answer 9

he i exciting candidate i just hope whoever gets that dobr ruin each other leaving the way for a bush clone

Answer 10

maybe - Iowa was suppose to be close and it wasn't



Typically Rasmussen is the best though!

Answer 11

I hope so!

Answer 12

i hope so!=]